July 2001
Table 1.
Caspian Sea Region Oil and Natural Gas Reserves
|
|
Proven Oil Reserves
|
Possible Oil Reserves
|
Total Oil Reserves
|
Proven Gas Reserves
|
Possible Gas Reserves
|
Total Gas Reserves
|
|
Azerbaijan
|
3.6-12.5 BBL
|
32 BBL
|
36-45 BBL
|
11 Tcf
|
35 Tcf
|
46 Tcf
|
|
Iran*
|
0.1 BBL
|
15 BBL
|
15 BBL
|
0 Tcf
|
11 Tcf
|
11 Tcf
|
|
Kazakhstan
|
10.0-17.6 BBL
|
92 BBL
|
102-110 BBL
|
65-70 Tcf
|
88 Tcf
|
153-158 Tcf
|
|
Russia*
|
2.7 BBL
|
14 BBL
|
17 BBL
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
|
Turkmenistan
|
0.5 BBL
|
80 BBL
|
81 BBL
|
101 Tcf
|
159 Tcf
|
260 Tcf
|
|
Uzbekistan
|
0.6 BBL
|
2 BBL
|
3 BBL
|
66 Tcf
|
35 Tcf
|
101 Tcf
|
|
Total
|
17.5-34 BBL
|
235 BBL
|
253-270 BBL
|
243-248 Tcf
|
328 Tcf
|
571-576 Tcf
|
*only the regions near the Caspian are
included
BBL = billion barrels, Tcf = Trillion Cubic Feet
Table 2. Caspian
Sea Region Oil Production and Exports
(thousand barrels
per day)
|
|
Production (1990)
|
Est. Production
(2000)
|
Possible Production
(2010)
|
Net Exports (1990)
|
Est. Net Exports
(2000)
|
Possible Net Exports
(2010)
|
|
Azerbaijan
|
259.3
|
280
|
1,200
|
76.8
|
155
|
1,000
|
|
Kazakhstan
|
602.1
|
693
|
2,000
|
109.2
|
452
|
1,700
|
|
Iran*
|
0.0
|
0
|
0
|
0.0
|
0
|
0
|
|
Russia**
|
144.0
|
11
|
300
|
0.0
|
7
|
300
|
|
Turkmenistan
|
124.8
|
148
|
200
|
69.0
|
83
|
150
|
|
Uzbekistan
|
86.2
|
152
|
200
|
-168.1
|
16
|
50
|
|
Total
|
1,216.4
|
1,284
|
3,900
|
86.9
|
713
|
3,200
|
*only the regions near the Caspian are
included
** includes Astrakhan, Dagestan, and the North Caucasus region bordering
the Caspian Sea
Table 3. Caspian
Sea Region Natural Gas Production and Exports
(billion cubic
feet per year)
|
|
Production (1990)
|
Est. Production
(2000)
|
Possible Production
(2010)
|
Net Exports (1990)
|
Est. Net Exports
(2000)
|
Possible Net Exports
(2010)
|
|
Azerbaijan
|
349.6
|
212
|
1,100
|
-271.9
|
0
|
500
|
|
Kazakhstan
|
251.2
|
170
|
1,100
|
-257.0
|
-220
|
350
|
|
Iran*
|
0.0
|
0
|
0
|
0.0
|
0
|
0
|
|
Russia**
|
219.0
|
30
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
|
Turkmenistan
|
3,099.5
|
1,660
|
3,900
|
2,539.0
|
1,200
|
3,300
|
|
Uzbekistan
|
1,439.5
|
1,960
|
2,400
|
102.5
|
500
|
700
|
|
Total
|
5,358.8
|
4,032
|
8,500
|
2,112.6
|
1,480
|
4,850
|
*only the regions near the Caspian are
included
** includes Astrakhan, Dagestan, and the North Caucasus region bordering
the Caspian Sea
Table 4. Oil
Export Routes in the Caspian Sea Region
|
Name/Location
|
Route
|
Crude Capacity
|
Length
|
Cost Estimate
|
Status
|
|
Atyrau-Samara
|
Atyrau (Kazakhstan)-Samara (Russia)
|
Originally 200,000 bbl/d, increased to 300,000
bbl/d
|
432 miles
|
Increase in capacity cost approximately
$37.5 million
|
Existing pipeline upgraded by adding pumping
and heating stations, increasing capacity
|
|
Baku-Ceyhan "Main Export Pipeline"
|
Baku (Azerbaijan)-Tbilisi (Georgia)-Ceyhan
(Turkey)
|
1.0 million bbl/d
|
approximately 1,038 miles
|
$2.8-$2.9 billion
|
Basic engineering study completed May 2001;
6-month detailed engineering study began June 2001. Construction
scheduled to begin in 2002, with completion targeted for 2004.
|
|
Baku-Supsa, AIOC "Early Oil" Western
Route
|
Baku (Azerbaijan)-Supsa (Georgia)
|
100,000 bbl/d; proposed upgrades to 300,000
bbl/d to 600,000 bbl/d
|
515 miles
|
$600 million before upgrade
|
Exports began in April 1999; approximately
90,000 bbl/d exported via this route in 2000
|
|
Baku-Novorossiisk, Northern Route
|
Baku (Azerbaijan)-Novorossiisk (Russia)
via Chechnya
|
100,000 bbl/d capacity; possible upgrade
to 300,000 bbl/d
|
868 miles; 90 miles are in Chechnya
|
$600 million to upgrade to 300,000 bbl/d
|
Exports began late 1997; exports in 2000
averaged only 10,000 bbl/d
|
|
Baku-Novorossiisk, Chechnya bypass with
link to Makhachkala
|
Baku (Azerbaijan) via Dagestan to Tikhoretsk
(Russia); connecting to Novorossiisk (Russia)
|
2000 pipeline capacity: 120,000 bbl/d (rail
and pipeline: 160,000 bbl/d)
2005
- 0.36 million bbl/d
|
204 miles
|
$140 million
|
Completed April 2000. 11-mile spur connects
bypass with Russia's Caspian port of Makhachkala.
|
|
Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC)
|
Tengiz (Kazakhstan)-Novorossiisk (Russia)
|
564,000 bbl/d in Phase 1; 1.35-million bbl/d
peak
|
990 miles
|
$2.3 billion for Phase 1; $4.2 billion total
when completed
|
Launched in March 2001. First tanker loading
at Novorossiisk set for Aug. 6, 2001; peak 2015
|
|
Gardabani-Batumi Pipeline
|
Gardabani (Azerbaijan)-Batumi (Georgia)
oil refinery
|
N/A
|
Rebuild of an existing pipeline
|
N/A
|
The World Bank and the European Bank for
Reconstruction and Development are providing financing
|
|
Iran-Azerbaijan
|
Baku (Azerbaijan)-Tabriz (Iran)
|
200,000 bbl/d to 400,000 bbl/d
|
N/A
|
$500 million
|
Proposed by TotalFinaElf
|
|
Iran Oil Swap Pipeline
|
Iranian Caspian port of Neka-Tehran
|
175,000 bbl/d, rising to 370,000 bbl/d
|
208 miles
|
$400-$500 million
|
Under construction
|
|
Kazakhstan-China
|
Aktyubinsk (Kazakhstan)- Xinjiang (China)
|
400,000 bbl/d to 800,000 bbl/d
|
1,800 miles
|
$3.0-3.5 billion
|
Agreement 1997; feasibility study halted
in September 1999 because Kazakhstan could not commit sufficient
oil flows for the next 10 years
|
|
Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan- Iran Pipeline
|
Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan-Kharg Island on
Persian Gulf (Iran)
|
1.0 million bbl/d
|
930 miles
|
$1.2 billion
|
Feasibility study by TotalFinaElf; proposed
completion date 2005
|
|
Khashuri-Batumi pipeline
|
Dubendi (Azerbaijan)-Khashuri-Batumi (Georgia)
|
Initial 70,000 bbl/d, rising to 140,000
bbl/d-160,000 bbl/d
|
Rail system from Dubendi to Khashuri, then
105-mile pipeline from Khashuri to Batumi
|
$70 million for pipeline renovation
|
Chevron signed agreement to rebuild and
expand the existing Khashuri-Batumi oil pipeline
|
|
South Pipeline (Central Asia Oil Pipeline)
|
Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan- Afghanistan-Gwadar
(Pakistan)
|
1 million bbl/d
|
1,040 miles
|
$2.5 billion
|
Memorandum of Understanding; stalled due
to Afghan fighting
|
|
Trans-Caspian (Kazakhstan Twin Pipelines)
|
Aqtau (western Kazakhstan coast)-Baku (Azerbaijan);
could extend to Ceyhan (Turkey)
|
N/A
|
370 miles to Baku
|
$2-$4 billion if to Ceyhan
|
Feasibility study agreement December 1998
Royal Dutch/Shell, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Kazakhstan
|
Table 5. Natural
Gas Export Routes in the Caspian Sea Region
|
Name/Location
|
Route
|
Gas Capacity
|
Length
|
Cost Estimate
|
Status
|
|
Baku-Erzurum
|
Baku-Tbilisi (Georgia)-Erzurum (Turkey)
|
Planned 254 Bcf capacity.
|
540 miles (entire route from Baku to Erzurum)
|
$1 billion (includes up to $500 million
to construct new Azeri section)
|
November 2000 inspection of existing Gazi
pipeline deemed that extensive repairs were necessary; new pipeline
will be necessary
|
|
Centgas (Central Asia Gas)
|
Daulatabad (Turkmenistan)-Herat (Afghanistan)-Multan
(Pakistan). May extend to India.
|
700 bcf/year
|
870 miles to Multan (additional 400 miles
to India)
|
$1.9 billion to Pakistan (additional $0.5
billion to India)
|
Memorandum of Understanding signed by Turkmenistan,
Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Uzbekistan. Project stalled with
financing difficulties because of Afghan fighting.
|
|
Central Asia-Russia-Europe
|
Turkmenistan-Kazakhstan-Russia
|
3.5 Tcf
|
N/A - uses existing routes
|
Uses Existing route
|
Operational; uses existing Russian system.
Turkmenistan signed an agreement to export 350 Bcf to Russia
in 2001, as well as to provide Ukraine with 1.06 Tcf in 2001
and 8.83 Tcf from 2002-2006 via this pipeline.
|
|
China Pipeline
|
Turkmenistan-Xinjiang (China); may extend
to Japan
|
1 Tcf/year
|
4,1,61 miles; more if to Japan
|
$10 billion to China; more if to Japan
|
Preliminary feasibility study done by Exxon,
Mitsubishi, and CNPC
|
|
Trans-Caspian (Turkmenistan)
|
Turkmenbashi (Turkmenistan)-Baku (Azerbaijan)-Tbilisi
(Georgia)-Erzerum (Turkey)
|
565 Bcf in first stage, eventually rising
to 1.1 Tcf/year
|
1,020 miles
|
$2.0-$3.0 billion
|
Project stalled; Negotiations between Turkmenistan
and the international consortium backing the project have stalled
over payment and price issues.
|
|
Turkmenistan-Iran
|
Korpezhe (Turkmenistan)-Kurt-Kui (Iran)
|
283-350 Bcf/year; expansion proposed to
459 Bcf/year by 2005
|
124 miles
|
$190 million; 2005 expansion $300-$400 million
|
Commissioned December 1997
|
Table 6. Bosporus
Bypass Oil Export Routes
(for Oil Transiting
the Black Sea)
|
Name/Location
|
Route
|
Crude Capacity
|
Length
|
Cost Estimate
|
Status
|
|
Albanian-Macedonian-Bulgarian Oil (AMBO)
pipeline
|
Burgas (Bulgaria)-Macedonia-Vlore (Albania)
|
750,000 bbl/d (could be expanded to 1 million
bbl/d)
|
560 miles
|
$850 million-$1.1 billion
|
Construction proposed 2001-2002. Completion
targeted for 2004-2005.
|
|
Burgas-Alexandroupolis Trans-Balkan Oil
Pipeline
|
Burgas (Bulgaria)-Alexandroupolis (Greece)
|
600,000-800,000 bbl/d
|
178 miles
|
$600 million
|
Initial agreement signed in 1997 between
Bulgaria, Greece, and Russia. Seeking to establish TransBalkan
Oil Company to build the pipeline.
|
|
Constanta-Trieste Pipeline
|
Constanta (Romania)-Pancevo (Yugoslavia)-Omisalj
(Croatia)-Trieste (Italy). Omisalj has also been proposed as
a terminus
|
660,000 bbl/d
|
855 miles
|
$1.2-$1.6 billion
|
Feasibility studies completed; awaiting
intergovernmental accord safeguarding the project, as well as
financial backing.
|
|
Odesa-Brody (Ukraine)
|
Odesa-Brody; optional spurs to the northern
Druzhba line at Plotsk, Poland, or to Slovakia
|
180,000 bbl/d; ultimate capacity 600,000-800,000
bbl/d
|
400 miles
|
$465 million for pipeline and terminal;
$140 million spent using revenues from the Friendship and Trans
Dnieper pipelines
|
Pivdenny (Yuzhnyi) oil terminal near Odesa
almost completed; pipeline 85% finished with target competion
in 2001
|
|